29 October

Rosemary. Latest Election Forecast

by Jon Katz

Rosemary was shorn Friday, and she looked regal standing out in the mist this morning.

Here is the latest election forecast from the most reliable source: FiveThirtyEIght:

Joseph Biden Jr. is favored to win the presidential election. The site simulates the election 40,000 times to see who wins most often.

The sample of 100 outcomes below gives a good idea of the range of scenarios their highly respected scenarios their model believes is possible.

Trump wins 10 out of 100. Biden wins 89 out of 100.

It remains statistically possible for President Trump to win re-election, it remains unlikely. I don’t see anything of note worth sharing this morning other than the FiveThirtyEight projections.

 

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